Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 13.655103 15.573607 17.624967 19.977000 22.594472 25.413076 28.673002
2024-11-03 11.367074 14.050691 17.116530 20.860033 25.288219 30.339201 36.515178
2024-11-10 10.151654 13.484621 17.521769 22.727843 29.214575 36.978513 46.916318
2024-11-17 8.827951 12.557880 17.331909 23.807444 32.266975 42.838832 56.929836
2024-11-24 7.379241 11.229202 16.428629 23.831247 33.943546 47.098661 65.297195
2024-12-01 6.036061 9.819462 15.205016 23.239532 34.691002 50.160110 72.310557
2024-12-08 5.107045 8.848606 14.442942 23.155896 36.062340 54.095913 80.720795
2024-12-15 4.455878 8.189617 14.032564 23.497988 38.015729 58.922073 90.635390
2024-12-22 3.807037 7.425007 13.349818 23.326673 39.155444 62.621104 99.147781
2024-12-29 3.519073 7.222225 13.525430 24.490597 42.383960 69.552571 112.745817
2025-01-05 3.117078 6.749543 13.186686 24.767178 44.215752 74.469962 123.601201
2025-01-12 2.618187 6.010819 12.290655 24.000762 44.274028 76.622444 130.328753
2025-01-19 2.160911 5.284496 11.341902 23.073164 44.038081 78.380983 136.707998
2025-01-26 2.000484 5.142243 11.460744 24.061094 47.132889 85.688714 152.301642
2025-02-02 1.974657 5.287591 12.150564 26.163463 52.325230 96.743720 174.531845
2025-02-09 1.854202 5.199252 12.362282 27.375971 56.013019 105.486390 193.415755
2025-02-16 1.637383 4.845096 11.982652 27.398940 57.528836 110.613115 206.538799
2025-02-23 1.394120 4.376387 11.294981 26.728999 57.687262 113.376490 215.782916
2025-03-02 1.226845 4.066970 10.911614 26.632940 58.909656 118.053821 228.507125
2025-03-09 1.112575 3.875846 10.768177 27.017618 61.074133 124.504913 244.580373
2025-03-16 0.977239 3.595878 10.377402 26.823632 62.065057 128.854695 257.122992
2025-03-23 0.938477 3.593203 10.656573 28.135257 66.182333 139.179578 280.795253
2025-03-30 0.851845 3.425096 10.501659 28.446536 68.255381 145.765311 297.964978